TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No16c20,807$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.864,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9724147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No19c9,837$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8697922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No19c8,610$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.898828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No18c5,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.979625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No26c4,364$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.727453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No20c3,700$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7406431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No19c3,618$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.4424145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Yes69c3,416$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.836100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ee0…37a4backed No19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No19c2,964$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.067321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No10c2,130$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes80c2,053$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.625253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No19c2,050$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed No19c1,999$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.81714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-82%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c1,956$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No20c1,720$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.527445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes66c1,518$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.092343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69aa…4d70backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No20c1,096$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.698552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No20c1,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0614621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No18c999.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.998521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No18c962.58$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1315750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No11c869.71$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.173,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes79c681.21$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.217468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No19c670$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.32927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes71c609.9$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.023171%22 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No19c584.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7915051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No19c573.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2817155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No4c489$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.678143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No30c442.1$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes78c438.36$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.444946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No22c400.09$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.12222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No6c390$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.868125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No19c360.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5116926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes70c359.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.296035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes80c340$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes71c331.46$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed Yes79c317.97$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.774463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes79c309$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.553455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No19c291.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.441435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes76c275$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes71c266.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.881346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…78f3backed Yes76c264.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes78c257.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.091070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0037…f9ebbacked Yes71c252.7$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No15c251.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.53246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No23c241.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No26c219$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.943050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No19c210.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8614462.5%90 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Yes71c203.4$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.58850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No7c199.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c199.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8812722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…f67ebacked Yes67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes69c179.42$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes78c172.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0f…30e6backed Yes80c160$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…cf95backed Yes74c150.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes76c150$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes65c149.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.453372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed No19c123.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+91.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b7…adf5backed No21c122.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes74c119$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No19c115.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac5…7960backed Yes80c106.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b4f…ce1fbacked No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No18c99.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No20c87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa4…d1b7backed Yes70c85.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes71c84.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.813626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ff…bd61backed No20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ab…7ecdbacked No20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9239…a358backed No20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes77c79.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.223234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…487dbacked Yes63c78.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No20c72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.412925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No28c70.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.716538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes72c68.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Yes79c68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes69c65.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes74c60.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.