La Liga · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf769a93eab8beac86d12aecc7150984785a59131da35c70844487ae473f5023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 6,328$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 999.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…0e5abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 414.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 278$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Yes | 15c | 269.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 24c | 260$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 13c | 243.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 210.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1d79backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 14c | 133.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…3418backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 20c | 124.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 16c | 108.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes | 13c | 103.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…78f3backed Yes | 29c | 101.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Yes | 30c | 94.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.