La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763d2fc6aa4d0ee8a1c73d6a201d44fa28877ad3674b12ab44e08add9765dc81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa71f…b09bbacked Yes | 8c | 12,298$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 11,243$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.04 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 2c | 10,353$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,861$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.64 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,562$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.73 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,370$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,766$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…df08backed Yes | 7c | 1,334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…6ec4backed Yes | 7c | 1,262$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 7c | 1,192$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 9c | 807$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…a647backed Yes | 7c | 607.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 8c | 503.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 6c | 410$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 345.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53af…421fbacked Yes | 7c | 241.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Yes | 17c | 179.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…3736backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.