Champions League · resolved market
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36d2fa0c4a9e47fe998d4f9d884421619235bc6510b7647e2d94944ce049e1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 66c | 3,003$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 2,969$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.18 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 2,149$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.14 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 519.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 66c | 450.02$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 449.82$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 33c | 443.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Yes | 66c | 341.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 337$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…355cbacked Yes | 67c | 294.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 65c | 252.09$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 67c | 210.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 66c | 196$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 162.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 66c | 161.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 34c | 154.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 67c | 119.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 33c | 96.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 65c | 95.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed No | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 65c | 64.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Yes | 67c | 59.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Yes | 79c | 46.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…7d1dbacked No | 36c | 44.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed No | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Yes | 66c | 37.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed No | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 35c | 30.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…70a4backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…c246backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…917cbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 67c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.