Champions League · resolved market
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60fb101b4d980580e6f47932c09a546e816b045964bf384a10b1bbec4a93f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 48c | 1,488$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.6 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 884.12$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.11 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 58c | 601.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 37c | 584.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 564.29$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 56c | 526.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 58c | 443.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 58c | 439.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked Under | 58c | 358.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Under | 59c | 302.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d683backed Under | 58c | 301.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 58c | 291$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 202.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 42c | 131$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 42c | 125$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 57c | 67.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 41c | 64.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 57c | 45.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e8…be53backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 57c | 22.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 76c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.