Champions League · resolved market
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe339d9e0e517174e4e713b0db2c22bb4d59c2f57b633522a926525d9bcdfef36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 67c | 2,000$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 1,760$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.36 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 66c | 1,587$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.98 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,511$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 36c | 443.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 68c | 297.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 35c | 166.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 36c | 165$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 15c | 139.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 33c | 99.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Under | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 68c | 67.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 65c | 59.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…b153backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 68c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 76c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.