Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739705de914956113ca695e53b4afcb020c7d8c252a0ef7fe81b4fa6e1ab72ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSVof Club Atlético de Madrid, PSV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 50c | 3,355$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.86 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed PSV | 24c | 3,196$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.26 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 2,686$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed PSV | 79c | 2,399$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.13 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PSV | 34c | 1,200$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.49 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 16c | 613.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PSV | 22c | 522.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.75 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 53c | 396.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.57 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 16c | 284.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…263ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 262.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed PSV | 58c | 222.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…2341backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed PSV | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed PSV | 78c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed PSV | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 68.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed PSV | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed PSV | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.