TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0b3…2341

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67.09
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$79.49
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+185.7%+$55.71
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+316.7%+$95
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+257.1%+$64.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+316.7%+$206.82
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.18
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Sharks vs. Flyersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.23
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.