Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea2bdbd66ff1558d249743171e8e140e77584d8bff5d5af4c5ef57c095e89e97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RU Saint-Gilloiseof Olympique de Marseille, RU Saint-Gilloise
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Olympique de Marseille | 21c | 8,135$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.22 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 80c | 7,248$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.97 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 78c | 5,750$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 3,020$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.08 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RU Saint-Gilloise | 79c | 2,479$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.52 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 1,992$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.3 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 1,771$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 79c | 290.75$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Olympique de Marseille | 21c | 261.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Olympique de Marseille | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Olympique de Marseille | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Olympique de Marseille | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…2341backed Olympique de Marseille | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 80c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 105.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Olympique de Marseille | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Olympique de Marseille | 16c | 91.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 80c | 87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked RU Saint-Gilloise | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…9f18backed Olympique de Marseille | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Olympique de Marseille | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed RU Saint-Gilloise | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.