Champions League · resolved market
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5799ecc78701d35e5646ff10ffadda88c1142caf1c4ceed26e5edc6b765d6335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,690$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,278$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.66 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 747.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.9 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 41c | 710$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 331.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 319.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 40c | 225.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 59c | 138.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 125.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 42c | 113.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 59c | 107$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…d0f6backed Yes | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 58c | 50.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…3dafbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed No | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 59c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.