Champions League · resolved market
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0746fcaf1a7feff5582164c7af66f576c173fea481192141cfc5380f43eaf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,835$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.26 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 1,669$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.79 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 960.45$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.85 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 779.55$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 46c | 649.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 636.26$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 397.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 56c | 325.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Over | 55c | 183.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 46c | 166$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 45c | 124.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…30d2backed Under | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 59.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 202 | 56.9%115 W · 87 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 56c | 39.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…5407backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -10.8wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…6e47backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 43c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5this page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.