Champions League · resolved market
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2879cd7ae72f4bae93b932c8d22350cba987581eb92ef1e0cf517a105d5632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 18c | 1,062$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 756.63$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.92 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 60c | 580.54$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 512.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.07 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 324.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 70c | 220$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 69c | 158$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 69c | 148$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 57c | 92.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 31c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 65c | 53.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 38c | 48.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 67c | 47.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 31c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 34.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 36c | 30.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5this page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.