Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef520ac53ad40e5f32827f7b6a4245e8fe755d8ba43c03c67f75d8ed95d703c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 40,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,899.98 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 23,807$11,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,664.95 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 17,579$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.41 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 56c | 17,500$9,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,860.07 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 58c | 14,616$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,477.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 43c | 12,500$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,144.55 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 57c | 9,956$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,674.92 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 9,082$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.51 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 8,888$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.74 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 7,947$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.56 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 7,858$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.46 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 57c | 7,314$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.14 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.96 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 4,665$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.19 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 4,621$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.95 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…e787backed No | 57c | 4,100$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…13f3backed Yes | 43c | 4,093$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 3,065$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.13 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 2,751$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.31 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 4c | 2,423$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 48c | 2,384$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.02 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes | 44c | 2,284$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.04 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 47c | 2,130$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.95 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 1c | 1,946$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a81…5b3fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 58c | 1,409$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.15 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked No | 7c | 1,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 57c | 1,128$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.31 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Yes | 43c | 1,070$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 57c | 1,068$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 1,018$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.79 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 60c | 1,009$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 42c | 999.78$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 75c | 999.77$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.83 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 44c | 989.91$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 57c | 899.97$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 57c | 868.02$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 42c | 863.95$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.95 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c5…e422backed Yes | 44c | 859.69$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 57c | 850$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 56c | 799.97$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.98 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 776.59$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.76 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 43c | 724.54$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 46c | 658.02$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 43c | 565.12$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 78c | 543.48$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.48 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 57c | 527.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed No | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 25c | 493.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.31 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…792cbacked Yes | 43c | 457.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 55c | 431.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 27c | 370.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 57c | 370.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 72c | 349.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…2c26backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…663cbacked Yes | 43c | 337.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 44c | 333$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 57c | 305.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 40c | 302.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 286.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Yes | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 77c | 280$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…2341backed Yes | 24c | 272.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 57c | 270.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 42c | 266.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…90ebbacked Yes | 69c | 263.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 44c | 263.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.