TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c3,517$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.563346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes26c2,409$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3360%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No75c2,188$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5472770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No74c1,823$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0714953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c1,521$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.261,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c1,501$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.1338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ea…bf18backed Yes25c1,404$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed No75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c978.38$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.638048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No75c823.32$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8316349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes3c800$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c638$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes25c453.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.54355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes20c410.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c400$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9537544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes25c392.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b13…2c26backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No74c380.91$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.043253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c331.01$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.211,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No76c330.83$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.420462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes25c320.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes25c269$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes25c267$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7520947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Yes26c217.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.472552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes26c196.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5160%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes26c195.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.871020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c177$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8738043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes13c170.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.615036%18 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes24c170$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82650%13 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes20c150.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.638027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3925659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.59624%23 W · 73 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Yes25c149.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes16c149.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1521745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes26c145$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.71030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Yes9c136.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes25c121.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes26c116.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.182642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb950…102fbacked Yes14c112.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes14c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…92c6backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x286e…7d04backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+143.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes32c76.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.434619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.759553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked No75c74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes17c66.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…9822backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6926…a128backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-79%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes25c53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.257754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-55.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+97.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da1…40cfbacked Yes33c48.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No80c46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No76c42.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.385240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No74c41.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a7…69e4backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb30…6ffbbacked Yes26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…984abacked No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No76c20.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.931080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed No75c20.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.126152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6987…6956backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.151050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c19.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.758100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.