Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226b2b2522baaa22efd55685c0cbe34c0595904573e3e6701c731d57cd9d981a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.97 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 60c | 19,425$11,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,607.8 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 17,774$8,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,382.6 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 10,123$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.53 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 9,018$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.37 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 8,678$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.59 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 41c | 7,880$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 41c | 6,871$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.55 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 60c | 5,393$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 58c | 4,900$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.23 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 42c | 4,793$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 4,572$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.98 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 4,272$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.8 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 58c | 4,121$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.54 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 36c | 3,686$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 59c | 3,660$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.24 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 3,368$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.31 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 3,298$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.64 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Yes | 42c | 3,099$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,762$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.3 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 45c | 2,235$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,200$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,006$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…9b67backed Yes | 41c | 1,974$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 1,928$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.04 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes | 41c | 1,831$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.17 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 1,779$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.33 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 28c | 1,768$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 1,457$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.98 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 1,339$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.54 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,256$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.51 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 41c | 1,234$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.06 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…0434backed Yes | 41c | 1,213$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 71c | 1,210$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,210$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 59c | 1,087$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.31 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 1,069$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.06 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 44c | 1,015$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.24 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…f55bbacked Yes | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 41c | 973.17$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 41c | 951.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.22 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 42c | 937.88$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 75c | 905$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 58c | 887.99$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.04 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed Yes | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 32c | 722.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f713backed Yes | 42c | 716.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 41c | 695$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 36c | 692.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 654.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.76 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…c31cbacked Yes | 43c | 561.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 58c | 518$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…5354backed Yes | 41c | 512.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 499.96$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 40c | 499.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.91 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 27c | 439.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bce…7dbebacked Yes | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6a…7305backed Yes | 42c | 435.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 62c | 424.56$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 407.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.46 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 58c | 399.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked No | 60c | 395$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 58c | 388.78$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 41c | 379$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 59c | 377.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 28c | 371.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…59a0backed Yes | 42c | 361.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 42c | 361.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 68c | 345.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 78c | 336.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 25c | 336$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 38c | 333.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 30c | 311.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 56c | 296.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.