Champions League · resolved market
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7487df9902c857c7b0c48b2b2bebd8483d4614c63733c52bd6af62e94137bd80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 5,307$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.5 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 2,500$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,130$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.32 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 1,205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 890.47$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.43 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 670$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 72c | 639.5$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.06 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 564.89$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 483.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 80c | 347.23$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 320$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 307.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 74c | 271.62$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 20c | 268.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 145.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 117.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 109.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 96.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 69c | 90.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 27c | 73.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 73c | 63.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 22c | 63.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…37fbbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 57c | 46.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 63c | 45.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 74c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…6956backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 75c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?Yes won
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.