NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1670d6e8aeb9dcd6c9869251e16abc79b1313c12bcb910a54c2b0da1f3247b60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Avalanche, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Avalanche | 46c | 21,806$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Predators | 56c | 13,403$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,897.25 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 44c | 11,546$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 54c | 9,487$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.42 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Predators | 54c | 8,893$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.59 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Predators | 54c | 3,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.38 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Avalanche | 35c | 3,050$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.49 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Avalanche | 44c | 2,187$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.28 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Predators | 65c | 2,068$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.66 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Predators | 55c | 1,947$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.87 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 64c | 1,287$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Avalanche | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Avalanche | 46c | 856.55$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Avalanche | 35c | 848.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Predators | 56c | 641.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Avalanche | 43c | 534.55$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Predators | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Predators | 64c | 333$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…2341backed Avalanche | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Avalanche | 46c | 253.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Predators | 63c | 199.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Predators | 56c | 179.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Predators | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…6996backed Avalanche | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Predators | 65c | 89.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Avalanche | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Predators | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Avalanche | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…dcdebacked Avalanche | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Predators | 54c | 61.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…b9a4backed Avalanche | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Predators | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Avalanche | 42c | 45.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Predators | 61c | 44.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Avalanche | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Predators | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…32a4backed Avalanche | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…e751backed Avalanche | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Predators | 66c | 42.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Predators | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Predators | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…4761backed Avalanche | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Predators | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Avalanche | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Avalanche | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Predators | 65c | 25.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Predators | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Predators | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Predators | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Predators | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Predators | 57c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.