Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5512c2b9957e8842fe3c9363b610c60278f4c6a6e2437325d11fc838a95c1c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 7,883$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.24 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 7,244$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.59 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 4,780$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.11 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 4,464$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.99 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 4,247$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.09 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 3,191$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 57c | 2,664$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.7 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…6e3abacked Yes | 45c | 2,008$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 45c | 1,406$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.21 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 1,154$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.03 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 695.24$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.56 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 453.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 21c | 453.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 749 | 58.5%438 W · 311 L | +49.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 18c | 406.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…ff54backed No | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 41c | 347.29$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 312.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 866 | 48.7%422 W · 444 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 43c | 295$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 72c | 278.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 43c | 249.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 42c | 224.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 41c | 200.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 44c | 171$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 60c | 161.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 59c | 156.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 42c | 156$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 25c | 150.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 57c | 146.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…b38bbacked Yes | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 56c | 124$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 120.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 94.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 56c | 93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 89.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 42c | 86.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 54c | 84.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…2341backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 56c | 72.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 59c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 58c | 61.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 43c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 58c | 48.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 58c | 47.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 543 | 28.2%153 W · 390 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…1008backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.