Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c3aa914a709ad1a6add7c549caa16bce0fd99c3c5336c0fa44d7549cc9d1f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 985.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 718.58$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 71c | 196$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 29c | 155$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 29c | 131$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 18c | 92.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 31c | 49.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 44.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.