TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Sharks, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks26c60,000$15,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,739.8942552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Flyers75c39,918$30,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,805.8238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers60c12,772$7,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.871,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Sharks1c5,862$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Flyers63c5,590$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.521755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Flyers61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers61c4,735$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.1879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sharks11c4,629$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.11,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Sharks37c3,904$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.4888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Flyers61c3,734$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.8328652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers61c3,725$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.151,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks58c3,463$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks40c3,339$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.614940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Sharks37c3,300$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.9827548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flyers61c3,194$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.852,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Sharks38c3,037$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.1514253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Flyers61c2,653$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.5529651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers61c2,555$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.4586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers61c2,545$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.2397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers42c2,526$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.1799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks26c2,500$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9668449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks3c2,458$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.491,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Flyers63c2,357$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.143158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sharks39c2,151$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.332,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks3c2,037$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Sharks38c1,868$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Flyers62c1,641$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers63c1,588$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.6285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Flyers63c1,578$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.986253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers60c1,532$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.6369550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks1c1,512$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.127450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks39c1,508$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.318547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed Sharks37c1,475$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks40c1,475$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.263,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Flyers62c1,473$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Flyers63c1,365$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Flyers62c1,344$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9324654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sharks37c1,330$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.232,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers60c1,235$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.861,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45638046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7e…20a7backed Sharks39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fc…0f98backed Flyers61c1,130$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Sharks38c1,050$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39920144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Flyers63c1,021$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4520951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3801…b2ccbacked Sharks40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Flyers61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6147256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks38c959.75$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7316…7e56backed Flyers62c950$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5246backed Sharks40c880$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca6…26aebacked Flyers61c880$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…95d4backed Flyers61c868.85$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Sharks38c851$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3820047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd69…dc14backed Sharks40c850$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Sharks40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28031148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sharks14c670$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2482043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Flyers60c660$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7322248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Flyers61c659.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2324347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0099…fcd7backed Sharks41c641.34$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.951747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Sharks39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks36c609.62$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.842,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sharks38c599.91$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9721147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Sharks38c589.68$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0830152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Flyers60c572.54$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.023740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e63…c908backed Sharks39c570$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe314…5493backed Sharks40c552.93$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7734…699ebacked Flyers61c552.46$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Sharks8c540.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.559050%45 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dad…72cfbacked Flyers61c534.43$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.432050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd110…ed30backed Sharks40c533.75$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.52560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Sharks39c515.59$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.081118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Flyers61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Flyers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20047051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03af…d62cbacked Flyers61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x761b…fea6backed Flyers61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Sharks39c478.89$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7725045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c84…3badbacked Flyers61c420$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sharks39c407$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Flyers63c404.76$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.767454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Sharks38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15231851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Flyers61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15639047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks37c391.09$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.752050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Sharks37c376.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8611933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers60c357.61$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.261,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Sharks40c350.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Sharks6c350$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sharks44c309.26$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Sharks38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.762447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Sharks39c259.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3127353.8%147 W · 126 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Sharks39c253.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9615044.7%67 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Flyers62c248.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.362138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x302f…ea04backed Sharks31c242.31$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Flyers63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.178443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sharks39c232.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8743944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Sharks41c227.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935052%26 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks39c225.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8839343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.