TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0748…a31ebacked No45c4,437$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.521225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c4,177$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes62c2,791$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.791,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No39c1,815$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.8619239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes62c1,663$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.1311846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes61c1,174$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.8785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No27c1,019$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.528145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Yes62c779.42$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.241526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes61c738.16$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.281,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No39c688.13$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8114128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff8…3b41backed Yes60c659$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c649.64$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.441,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes50c569.39$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes62c555.36$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3457250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes63c512$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4330143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes62c502.74$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.77544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes63c445.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No37c443.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7121548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No37c407.79$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes55c398.83$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No38c324.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.211,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes63c322.22$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes63c301.59$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c296.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No38c264.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.298552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes61c210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked Yes62c201.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes67c188.27$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked No40c149.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.248161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90c2…8c24backed No31c134.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.951464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes69c122.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes77c84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.268854.5%48 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes68c83.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf67…6c84backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes54c75.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.261,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2820…c2e5backed No41c73.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No39c69.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6918449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes57c64.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Yes57c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.485131.4%16 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No39c60.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.38038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaba1…ac85backed Yes66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c0…90f1backed Yes63c55.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Yes62c52.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.671060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No39c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.521648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No38c49.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.876731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305853.4%31 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes63c41.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked No52c40.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.485048%24 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked No37c40.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.513330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff2…6ab9backed Yes62c40.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No39c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad48…4797backed Yes62c35.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe071…d24cbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204850%24 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Yes62c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57258.3%42 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Yes61c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.133855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3033…2676backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe72…cf52backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefa3…e52bbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14843.8%21 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes61c26.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed Yes62c25.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.813935.9%14 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1179…ab20backed Yes62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes70c21.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Yes62c20.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-79.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes62c20.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.784753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2789backed Yes62c19.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Yes56c17.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.093740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.