Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ecdf5a67d97be55292673887df20a797ccc5549dadc2a9c76d2c4912b39b4f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 71c | 6,288$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.52 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…6677backed Over | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,884$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.88 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 36c | 1,875$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.92 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 63c | 1,728$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 36c | 1,556$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.17 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 35c | 1,498$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.35 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 68c | 1,474$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,389$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.13 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 31c | 1,250$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked Over | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 63c | 893$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.44 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Under | 56c | 880.36$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…011fbacked Under | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 742.74$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 31c | 717.02$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 37c | 613.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.31 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 570.55$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 64c | 402$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 65c | 349.23$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 29c | 312.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…caa4backed Under | 65c | 310.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…a4dfbacked Over | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 37c | 209$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 36c | 193.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 58c | 160.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 72c | 147$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Under | 59c | 144.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Over | 36c | 141.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 37c | 134.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 131.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 73c | 116.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Under | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 33c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Under | 58c | 50.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed Over | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 21.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…102ebacked Under | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.