Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d47fc8c3bf5268ce7763c24e62f0820899693c0e0d948d33e6fabdf17dca26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 59c | 71,933$42,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,333.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Under | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 20,653$8,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,183.8 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Over | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 10,324$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,575.21 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 6,455$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.65 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 6,168$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 59c | 6,045$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.28 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 42c | 4,714$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 4,463$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 4,356$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.79 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 41c | 3,608$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.59 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 58c | 2,637$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.46 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Under | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 2,040$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.42 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 54c | 1,873$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.42 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 30c | 1,748$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.29 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,067$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 43c | 1,061$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.86 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 915.4$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.24 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 58c | 862$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 60c | 827.55$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.18 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 62c | 801.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 27c | 744.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 58c | 598.28$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…c69bbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 42c | 406$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 55c | 364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 355.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 41c | 330$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 41c | 330$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 41c | 280$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2c89backed Over | 58c | 260.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…9c31backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 40c | 232.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 42c | 209.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -12.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 42c | 175.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…8903backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 47c | 153$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Under | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…c6c3backed Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Under | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed Over | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 59c | 103.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.