Champions League · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d2cf5608a25d05793b7152c29bcbb2dbdcff74b0def6c0b039b3e26695267cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 44c | 8,536$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.93 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 56c | 4,940$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.47 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 57c | 1,742$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.49 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 1,694$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.78 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,653$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.24 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 1,514$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.85 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 56c | 999.86$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…9e1abacked Yes | 7c | 920$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 801.64$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 57c | 795.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 42c | 678.02$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.77 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 57c | 611.86$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.86 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 521.62$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.22 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 43c | 438$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 60c | 399.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 42c | 238.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 212$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 211.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 58c | 171.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 43c | 124.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 103.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 57c | 90.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 57c | 89.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 56c | 89.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Yes | 57c | 44.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3762backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…c6f2backed Yes | 57c | 41.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e6…f767backed Yes | 58c | 34.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…8c89backed Yes | 57c | 26.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…0cb5backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…ce78backed Yes | 57c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…19babacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…580abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.