Champions League · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x399484a3b48ecb07198556b7fdef1e5e41c141f79729abece36667cbe76956a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 50c | 60,958$30,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,474.89 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 20,426$10,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,025.83 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 19,830$9,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,915.18 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 14,915$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,483.62 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 6,153$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.57 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 51c | 5,250$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.5 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 4,452$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.79 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,803$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.73 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,532$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.44 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Over | 50c | 1,177$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 49c | 1,001$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 54c | 918.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.57 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Over | 50c | 878$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 53c | 699.93$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 48c | 622.92$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 524.83$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 51c | 500.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 45c | 458.56$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 409.38$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over | 51c | 362.75$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 50c | 345.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 340.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 51c | 309.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 53c | 302.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 277$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 269.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 51c | 262.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 51c | 250.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 50c | 167.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 52c | 150.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 51c | 143.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 51c | 137.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 50c | 133.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 51c | 117.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 51c | 110.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 109.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…6a05backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Over | 55c | 95.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Over | 50c | 94.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +175%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 23c | 58.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 57.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 50c | 57.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 52c | 51.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 49.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 44.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Over | 52c | 42.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Over | 51c | 37.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 35.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.