Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a315dd6f605e75b378eb242d073720bee0dee18d2d6cce21ce65774dd6f9064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0720…1cdbbacked No | 54c | 185,273$99,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,855.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 40,401$18,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,435.64 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 47c | 38,850$18,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,259.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Yes | 47c | 18,920$8,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 46c | 17,391$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.55 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 46c | 17,245$7,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,874.37 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 15,740$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297.1 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 52c | 13,501$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480.28 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 11,682$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.92 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 51c | 11,523$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 45c | 10,951$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 47c | 10,723$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 53c | 10,317$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.12 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 9,993$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.02 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Yes | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…b09bbacked No | 54c | 7,557$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 47c | 6,296$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.92 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 5,957$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 5,862$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked No | 51c | 5,441$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 60c | 5,153$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.73 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 53c | 5,001$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.51 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 4,491$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.73 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 51c | 4,050$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Yes | 50c | 3,118$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 3,105$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 51c | 3,035$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 49c | 2,865$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 47c | 2,568$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.96 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,498$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.54 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 55c | 2,238$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 2,200$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 48c | 2,170$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.32 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…7cecbacked Yes | 46c | 2,160$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 24c | 2,084$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,951$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.73 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…0ebcbacked No | 52c | 1,899$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 47c | 1,852$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 52c | 1,645$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.01 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,509$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 46c | 1,456$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 1,419$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.55 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 55c | 1,328$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 30c | 1,305$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.76 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 1,289$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 16c | 1,286$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 38c | 1,200$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 44c | 1,119$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.66 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…94b0backed Yes | 46c | 1,089$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 48c | 987$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 959.18$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.81 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 18c | 920.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 45c | 904.01$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 33c | 901.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…772ebacked Yes | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked No | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 824.88$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 46c | 817.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.28 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6797backed No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 49c | 778.22$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…b032backed No | 54c | 739.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes | 30c | 666.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 47c | 658.06$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 49c | 641.1$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…c325backed Yes | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 619.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 599.15$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 46c | 597.54$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 43c | 582.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 40c | 558.54$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 57c | 554.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.51 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 47c | 534$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 52c | 507.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.23 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 40c | 500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 59c | 498.19$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 71c | 488.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 476.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 470.38$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 42c | 468$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 22c | 450.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…b615backed Yes | 48c | 436.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…db80backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.