Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8435cfc32c42f2fa68c000f87f61e3226580303e3d089e59ab29604b5f82ecf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 20,435$6,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,383.57 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 74c | 15,563$11,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,516.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 12,998$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,327.09 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 74c | 11,548$8,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,545.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 74c | 5,570$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 27c | 2,865$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 62c | 2,273$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.09 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…b4f9backed No | 62c | 2,250$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 2,150$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed No | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 34c | 1,059$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 74c | 1,029$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.19 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 26c | 869.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.23 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 813.87$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.26 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 27c | 796.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 23c | 738.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 701.02$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.07 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 700.93$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.62 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 74c | 691.23$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.44 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 62c | 651.52$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.94 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 622.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 617.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 75c | 456$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 440.91$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.86 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 431.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 74c | 337$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 75c | 330.33$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 26c | 296$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 71c | 282.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 277$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 273.78$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 62c | 238.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 26c | 235.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed No | 62c | 223.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 75c | 202.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 73c | 180$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 63c | 167.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 28c | 135.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Yes | 56c | 129.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…5e45backed No | 61c | 126.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 51c | 105.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 73c | 104$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes | 26c | 96.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 75c | 82.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 76.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 26c | 66.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…5ee6backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked No | 41c | 64.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…8e67backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 53.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 26c | 52.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked No | 75c | 51.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 26c | 50.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 71c | 49.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 34c | 48.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…9812backed Yes | 42c | 47.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 47.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 26c | 46.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 25c | 44.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…7c8abacked No | 62c | 42.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…56cabacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 43c | 38.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…653ebacked No | 62c | 38.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 38.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…ea8fbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e7…1d7bbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 47c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 74c | 26.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 68c | 26.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.