TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc4e…5ee6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.11
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.71
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Idaho Vandalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.37
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Kansas City Roosbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.03
Yale Bulldogs vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.65
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. USC Trojansbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.68
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.68
Utah Utes vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.28
Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.64
Rice Owls vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Duquesne Dukes vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Idaho State Bengals vs. Idaho Vandalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncsbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
California Golden Bears vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+220.7%+$66.21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merida Open Akron: Emiliana Arango vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
St. Brieuc: Clement Tabur vs Daniel Rinconbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: HC Sochi vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.