Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7228ef52b4baf2678fff09808a9c71663639df20d2808bdb02f5971228d09640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Xavier Musketeers, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 24c | 6,421$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 4,857$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.64 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 4,399$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.62 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 17c | 2,006$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 59c | 1,438$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Butler Bulldogs | 80c | 1,041$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xavier Musketeers | 3c | 740.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Xavier Musketeers | 14c | 535.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Xavier Musketeers | 28c | 532.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 460.7$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Butler Bulldogs | 80c | 437.4$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 405.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 15c | 376.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 354.94$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Xavier Musketeers | 6c | 319.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Xavier Musketeers | 11c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 199.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Xavier Musketeers | 11c | 169.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 62c | 161.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 159.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 158.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xavier Musketeers | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Xavier Musketeers | 13c | 149.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 125.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Xavier Musketeers | 13c | 125.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 9c | 116.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 116.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Xavier Musketeers | 39c | 116.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…e92ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 96.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Xavier Musketeers | 12c | 91.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Butler Bulldogs | 76c | 84.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e1…f709backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 62.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 58.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xavier Musketeers | 23c | 49.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Butler Bulldogs | 62c | 48.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 46.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…5ee6backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 37.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Butler Bulldogs | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +46%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Butler Bulldogs | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 30.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 29.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Butler Bulldogs | 62c | 28.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-3.5)Butler Bulldogs won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 159.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.