TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

California Golden Bears vs. Syracuse Orange

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Syracuse Orangeof California Golden Bears, Syracuse Orange
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56fc…733ebacked Syracuse Orange40c5,000$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.644560%27 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears26c3,071$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.123,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed California Golden Bears60c3,061$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.6869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked California Golden Bears39c2,568$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca28…54a7backed Syracuse Orange73c2,135$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.813363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked California Golden Bears25c2,132$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.181,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked California Golden Bears46c1,972$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed California Golden Bears53c1,897$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb11d…be92backed California Golden Bears2c1,400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Golden Bears35c1,360$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.81,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Syracuse Orange42c1,236$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.0246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked California Golden Bears29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Syracuse Orange72c1,139$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.832,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed California Golden Bears35c1,131$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.542,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed California Golden Bears16c1,100$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked California Golden Bears2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed California Golden Bears37c978.34$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.865,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed California Golden Bears6c900$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked California Golden Bears34c863.16$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.911,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed California Golden Bears40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.712230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Syracuse Orange52c722.43$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.51,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed California Golden Bears2c716.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.16728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick3cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Syracuse Orange58c618.41$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4114354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked California Golden Bears2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed California Golden Bears45c543.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0719641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Syracuse Orange64c529.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.123,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed California Golden Bears27c476.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1238343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Syracuse Orange60c451.65$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed California Golden Bears25c405.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9425325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked California Golden Bears29c393.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.421,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Syracuse Orange65c374.38$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4814062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Syracuse Orange71c362.95$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed California Golden Bears29c341$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.891,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked California Golden Bears33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed California Golden Bears8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24310%0 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Syracuse Orange58c281.91$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed California Golden Bears54c271.66$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed California Golden Bears29c243.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.932,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears27c242.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked California Golden Bears32c241.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5619138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked California Golden Bears35c224.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.134,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed California Golden Bears24c216.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked California Golden Bears31c209$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7932751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed California Golden Bears16c206.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.062,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x154d…a748backed California Golden Bears5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked California Golden Bears31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked California Golden Bears31c199.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed California Golden Bears34c199.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5212537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed California Golden Bears32c198.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9324444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Syracuse Orange77c168.8$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.962,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed California Golden Bears39c168$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4814643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Syracuse Orange62c165.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.521,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Syracuse Orange66c159.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Syracuse Orange65c155.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.111,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked California Golden Bears34c154.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0219332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed California Golden Bears28c150.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.323253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked California Golden Bears27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Syracuse Orange61c147.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.91,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Syracuse Orange70c142.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.213650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Syracuse Orange68c136.07$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5740755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4a…7e4fbacked California Golden Bears27c130.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Syracuse Orange38c129.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Syracuse Orange43c127$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5322640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed California Golden Bears39c126.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked California Golden Bears41c126.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked California Golden Bears29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Syracuse Orange53c115$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.922157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed California Golden Bears33c111.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed California Golden Bears25c111$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33130%0 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Golden Bears32c108.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.131,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked California Golden Bears28c108$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.281,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed California Golden Bears27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9d…1ba2backed California Golden Bears29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed California Golden Bears33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed California Golden Bears30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.986657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed California Golden Bears33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed California Golden Bears28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed California Golden Bears37c86.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked California Golden Bears44c85.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.834,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed California Golden Bears28c81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.682,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Syracuse Orange30c79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4912540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x890a…be9abacked California Golden Bears33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked California Golden Bears49c73.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed California Golden Bears27c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.556648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fcd…32f3backed California Golden Bears26c57.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Syracuse Orange43c57.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed California Golden Bears33c54.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked California Golden Bears36c53.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.622730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Syracuse Orange68c50.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Syracuse Orange61c45.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed California Golden Bears33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Syracuse Orange72c44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3225152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88d…2750backed California Golden Bears46c43.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Syracuse Orange66c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Syracuse Orange70c41.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed California Golden Bears28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.240849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed California Golden Bears51c39.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked California Golden Bears28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked California Golden Bears31c32.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0117634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Syracuse Orange73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.164658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.