Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. California Golden Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51a6ba4464c97ea6eb62c2cae80d94104eb3f7735dfa1bcf9a68cea6dbd80a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Panthersof Pittsburgh Panthers, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 65c | 7,997$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.96 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Golden Bears | 40c | 6,555$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 2,610$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed California Golden Bears | 16c | 2,388$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 60c | 1,499$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 1,433$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.53 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked California Golden Bears | 53c | 1,195$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 28c | 958.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked California Golden Bears | 50c | 948.14$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 859.13$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California Golden Bears | 55c | 807.95$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 24c | 671.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.05 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 654.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.46 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 67c | 648.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked California Golden Bears | 28c | 645.76$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 57c | 619.9$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed California Golden Bears | 74c | 608.3$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.7 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 67c | 605.92$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed California Golden Bears | 65c | 443.18$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 46c | 362.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 314.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked California Golden Bears | 77c | 262.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked California Golden Bears | 49c | 242.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed California Golden Bears | 49c | 237.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed California Golden Bears | 76c | 198.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed California Golden Bears | 76c | 198.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 40c | 198.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 192.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed California Golden Bears | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed California Golden Bears | 74c | 159.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 132.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked California Golden Bears | 34c | 130.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 130.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 114.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 25c | 109.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 36c | 104.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 25c | 99.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked California Golden Bears | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed California Golden Bears | 34c | 97.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 24c | 96.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 25c | 94.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 94.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California Golden Bears | 39c | 94.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed California Golden Bears | 76c | 84.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 78.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…5ee6backed California Golden Bears | 76c | 65.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked California Golden Bears | 75c | 59.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 66c | 42.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 62c | 41.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 38.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 38.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed California Golden Bears | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed California Golden Bears | 65c | 35.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed California Golden Bears | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed California Golden Bears | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 67c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked California Golden Bears | 64c | 17.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed California Golden Bears | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.