Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Utes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ea7fb2c8d2ffa7a4b8767e3a0ece88b2bec0a211d34bf6eae7c3d12cc572816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona State Sun Devilsof Utah Utes, Arizona State Sun Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 78c | 2,345$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Utah Utes | 28c | 1,790$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 64c | 1,745$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Utah Utes | 10c | 1,660$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Utah Utes | 27c | 1,348$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Utah Utes | 24c | 1,344$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.35 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah Utes | 29c | 1,298$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 23c | 919.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 74c | 880.7$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Utah Utes | 3c | 706.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah Utes | 14c | 597.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Utah Utes | 22c | 397.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah Utes | 13c | 387.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 72c | 372.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 63c | 325.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 73c | 310.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Utah Utes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 63c | 251.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Utah Utes | 8c | 199.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 78c | 179.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 80c | 160.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 72c | 150.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Utah Utes | 10c | 149.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 70c | 131.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Utah Utes | 26c | 119.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Utah Utes | 26c | 99.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 99.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 74c | 50.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 74c | 40.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…04d0backed Utah Utes | 37c | 39.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Utah Utes | 35c | 39.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…5ee6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 75c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 15.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Utes vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsthis page
- Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-6.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Utah Utes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.