TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Dartmouth Big Green vs. Columbia Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dartmouth Big Greenof Dartmouth Big Green, Columbia Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Columbia Lions42c19,287$8,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,183.635,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Dartmouth Big Green54c13,867$7,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,382.986752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Columbia Lions54c6,433$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.2634943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Columbia Lions54c5,593$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.051,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Dartmouth Big Green75c4,159$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green61c3,551$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.171,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green56c2,980$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.283,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Dartmouth Big Green26c1,534$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.111,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Dartmouth Big Green49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56110846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Dartmouth Big Green55c848.69$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.242,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Columbia Lions73c750$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.261,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dartmouth Big Green45c682.96$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.251,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d2…46a0backed Columbia Lions3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green53c652.23$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.873,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dartmouth Big Green69c554.07$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.051,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Columbia Lions53c516.04$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Columbia Lions5c460$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.44710.6%5 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dartmouth Big Green68c457$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.552,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Dartmouth Big Green27c434$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.824,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Dartmouth Big Green47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Columbia Lions43c387.36$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.181,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Columbia Lions33c338.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.811,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dartmouth Big Green53c331.3$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.33,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Columbia Lions75c312.88$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dartmouth Big Green29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Columbia Lions74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dartmouth Big Green27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Dartmouth Big Green27c200$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Dartmouth Big Green53c194.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.41955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Dartmouth Big Green26c174$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.484351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dartmouth Big Green71c173$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green26c135.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dartmouth Big Green47c122.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.231,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dartmouth Big Green64c108$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8135852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Dartmouth Big Green68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Columbia Lions40c96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7284854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Columbia Lions50c81.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.753423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Columbia Lions73c76.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.031,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dartmouth Big Green32c74.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.095,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Columbia Lions44c74.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.334,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Columbia Lions73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974a…615cbacked Columbia Lions51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dartmouth Big Green48c57.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.831,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed Columbia Lions39c55.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.995427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Dartmouth Big Green67c51.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9314049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Dartmouth Big Green67c51.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Dartmouth Big Green40c49.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.927055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dartmouth Big Green27c49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Dartmouth Big Green28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…ad0cbacked Columbia Lions44c39.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.372560%15 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dartmouth Big Green58c38.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.272,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4e…5ee6backed Columbia Lions74c33.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Columbia Lions40c32.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.110347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Columbia Lions40c29.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.696549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…7d9ebacked Columbia Lions75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc2…02a9backed Dartmouth Big Green59c25.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Dartmouth Big Green63c23.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.577247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Columbia Lions50c21.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.813464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Dartmouth Big Green65c18.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.