NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc651700dcc0f8903decff4fb4a51fa6c18afd15d1fed28ecb27fc92ebdc6d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,167 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 53c | 250,113$132,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,553.14 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 55c | 131,696$72,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,263.12 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder | 48c | 100,000$47,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,500 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 52c | 88,721$46,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,586.23 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 47c | 51,502$24,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,205.86 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thunder | 47c | 34,776$16,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,344.44 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 51c | 31,076$15,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,236.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 56c | 23,878$13,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,410.12 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Thunder | 47c | 22,789$10,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710.7 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 45c | 20,438$9,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,294.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Thunder | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.88 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 47c | 19,586$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,205.14 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Thunder | 49c | 17,924$8,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,783 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Thunder | 48c | 16,821$8,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.08 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Thunder | 47c | 13,786$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.54 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Thunder | 49c | 12,913$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.19 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 47c | 10,521$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.91 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Warriors | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.99 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Thunder | 48c | 9,843$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Thunder | 49c | 8,059$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 45c | 8,000$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Thunder | 47c | 6,532$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Warriors | 54c | 6,080$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.05 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Thunder | 48c | 5,437$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.59 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Thunder | 47c | 4,319$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Thunder | 47c | 4,240$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 52c | 4,202$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Thunder | 44c | 4,032$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.38 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Warriors | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.3 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 43c | 2,592$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.64 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 43c | 2,371$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 51c | 2,345$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.16 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 48c | 2,280$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.58 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 44c | 2,059$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 44c | 1,969$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.56 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,718$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 52c | 1,532$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 45c | 1,461$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 52c | 1,430$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.56 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,366$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,308$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.73 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Warriors | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.18 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder | 49c | 981$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Warriors | 53c | 886.68$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.74 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…0fb5backed Thunder | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 54c | 830.15$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.15 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 48c | 808.68$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.12 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 50c | 643.13$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 52c | 586.53$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.53 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Thunder | 47c | 532.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Warriors | 53c | 529.11$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.96 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Warriors | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Thunder | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Warriors | 57c | 481.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.61 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Warriors | 53c | 435.35$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Warriors | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder | 6c | 424$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Warriors | 49c | 404.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Warriors | 52c | 383.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…eb4fbacked Thunder | 47c | 378.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Thunder | 33c | 349.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Thunder | 49c | 341.9$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Warriors | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Warriors | 52c | 294.07$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 53c | 272.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Thunder | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Warriors | 78c | 257.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 47c | 254.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Thunder | 47c | 212.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Thunder | 48c | 209.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Thunder | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Warriors | 49c | 205.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Warriors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Thunder | 49c | 202.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Thunder | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Thunder | 51c | 195.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 19c | 191.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Warriors | 53c | 177$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Warriors | 53c | 166.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 51c | 163.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Thunder | 49c | 159.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Thunder | 45c | 156.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Warriors | 51c | 155.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Warriors | 51c | 152.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Warriors | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Thunder | 39c | 130.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Warriors | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 48c | 119.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.