NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef0fa7b21dca8ee298c66c1ddabfc48c57454c00086860f52867ec2837814e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,166 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 52c | 451,379$232,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,795.23 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 48c | 137,512$66,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,005.76 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 49c | 65,987$32,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,653.17 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 51c | 65,667$33,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,268.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Thunder | 49c | 34,872$17,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,087.34 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Thunder | 51c | 31,373$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 47c | 27,404$12,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,953.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 48c | 25,000$12,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,110 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Thunder | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 49c | 16,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Thunder | 47c | 13,300$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Thunder | 47c | 12,544$5,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.68 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 50c | 12,488$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Thunder | 50c | 11,861$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.45 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Thunder | 50c | 10,320$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Thunder | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Thunder | 51c | 9,228$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 51c | 9,105$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 7,822$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Thunder | 47c | 5,316$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Thunder | 51c | 4,607$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.48 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Warriors | 50c | 4,571$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.59 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 56c | 4,470$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.01 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Thunder | 57c | 4,296$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed Thunder | 50c | 4,020$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,920$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.63 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Thunder | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Thunder | 51c | 2,772$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Thunder | 51c | 2,609$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.58 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 54c | 2,295$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors | 54c | 2,105$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.29 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Thunder | 49c | 2,050$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…5a0fbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 48c | 1,715$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.8 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Thunder | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Thunder | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.2 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 41c | 956.12$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 49c | 860.29$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 45c | 838.08$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Thunder | 50c | 759.38$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.74 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed Thunder | 50c | 700.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Warriors | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Thunder | 50c | 664$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Thunder | 50c | 658.78$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.39 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed Warriors | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Warriors | 51c | 589.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.61 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 57c | 520.84$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Thunder | 52c | 520$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 51c | 468.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…698bbacked Thunder | 51c | 414.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Thunder | 48c | 412.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 49c | 408.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Warriors | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Thunder | 51c | 398.04$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 50c | 391.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Thunder | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Thunder | 47c | 287.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Warriors | 48c | 271.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Thunder | 48c | 264.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Warriors | 47c | 264.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 50c | 211.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Thunder | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Thunder | 52c | 193.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Warriors | 54c | 186.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 54c | 185.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Warriors | 55c | 180.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Warriors | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c8d4backed Thunder | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…38b2backed Warriors | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Thunder | 50c | 100.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Thunder | 49c | 99.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors | 52c | 97.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaec…968cbacked Thunder | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Warriors | 53c | 93.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Warriors | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Thunder | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Thunder | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Thunder | 48c | 83.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Warriors | 54c | 78.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…284abacked Thunder | 48c | 78.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors | 52c | 73.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Warriors | 51c | 69.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Warriors | 51c | 68.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked Thunder | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Thunder | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Warriors | 50c | 62.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Thunder | 53c | 59.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Thunder | 53c | 56.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 47c | 52.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Thunder | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Thunder | 50c | 48.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Thunder | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Warriors | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Thunder | 48c | 42.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Thunder | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.