NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92d0fe8759c5ca1eeec3e3b71a6adccb53cdcfaa98147c1dd75aa04d4148f4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,640 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 51c | 139,914$71,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,269.06 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under | 55c | 45,549$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,548.89 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 49c | 40,827$20,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,821.53 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 32,676$15,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,779.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 26,445$13,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,722.61 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 24,993$12,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,811.08 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 10,273$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.81 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 7,310$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.97 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 6,126$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 5,528$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 5,469$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.39 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 5,238$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.6 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 4,918$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.37 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 48c | 4,329$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.05 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 4,140$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 52c | 3,883$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.15 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed Under | 48c | 3,868$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 64c | 3,130$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.4 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.94 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 2,973$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 2,790$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 2,538$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.39 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 45c | 2,036$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 52c | 2,017$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.51 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,630$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 1,618$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.65 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,564$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.56 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 1,498$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.73 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 40c | 1,464$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.71 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,310$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.36 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 36c | 1,266$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.24 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Under | 49c | 1,256$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.27 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.39 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Under | 49c | 1,146$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,129$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.28 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 49c | 1,114$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.29 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…db78backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 951.71$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 938.12$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 925.7$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.71 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 48c | 833$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.22 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 625.87$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…6441backed Over | 51c | 621$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 563$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.87 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 480.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 50c | 472.12$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.23 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…f9d5backed Under | 49c | 455$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 47c | 439.45$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 434.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 48c | 415$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 404.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 19c | 400.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.07 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 53c | 377.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 65c | 372$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 27c | 328$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.68 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Under | 75c | 290$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 283.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 237.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 52c | 202.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 194.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 50c | 180.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 179.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 174.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 58c | 173.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 49c | 150.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 47c | 148.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 71c | 141.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Over | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over | 50c | 131.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7a59backed Over | 71c | 127.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 125.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 42c | 123.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 117.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 46c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 52c | 108.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8939…ffdfbacked Over | 52c | 108.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Over | 57c | 106.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.