NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83a0c4586f1f51c72fb918702a905f72b58b6eb4f533562deb2ca342b79726f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,361 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 44c | 24,970$10,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,911.48 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 56c | 14,143$7,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 60c | 10,154$6,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 43c | 9,556$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.2 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Warriors | 54c | 5,584$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.57 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 50c | 4,878$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.18 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Thunder | 47c | 4,828$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.09 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 40c | 4,592$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 55c | 3,965$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 47c | 1,685$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.95 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…ba19backed Thunder | 78c | 1,591$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 46c | 1,590$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.48 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Thunder | 43c | 1,339$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.9 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Warriors | 53c | 1,234$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 50c | 1,158$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Warriors | 14c | 1,156$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.54 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 50c | 1,058$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,035$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 55c | 947.32$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 56c | 888.03$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 53c | 822.6$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.62 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…7db1backed Thunder | 47c | 688.5$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Warriors | 53c | 661$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 57c | 527.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Warriors | 60c | 502.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Thunder | 46c | 426$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Thunder | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 80c | 376.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Warriors | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Warriors | 55c | 329.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 47c | 274.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Thunder | 47c | 270.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 51c | 268.12$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…7278backed Warriors | 49c | 226.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Warriors | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Thunder | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 40c | 188$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Warriors | 61c | 187.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Warriors | 54c | 185.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Thunder | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Warriors | 67c | 138.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 44c | 135.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Thunder | 41c | 131.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Thunder | 28c | 123$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors | 58c | 120.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Thunder | 40c | 112.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Thunder | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Thunder | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Thunder | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 46c | 96.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Warriors | 52c | 95.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Warriors | 58c | 89.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Thunder | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaec…968cbacked Warriors | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 56c | 84.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked Thunder | 43c | 80.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Thunder | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Warriors | 53c | 71.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Thunder | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Thunder | 44c | 64.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Warriors | 58c | 63.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Warriors | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 36c | 45.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…5688backed Thunder | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Thunder | 51c | 45.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…027ebacked Thunder | 47c | 44.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 35c | 42.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Warriors | 56c | 41.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Warriors | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…1e9bbacked Warriors | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Thunder | 42c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Warriors | 50c | 37.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Thunder | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Thunder | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Thunder | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Thunder | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Thunder | 47c | 32.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Warriors | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Thunder | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Warriors | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Warriors | 59c | 23.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Warriors | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Warriors | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Warriors | 59c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Warriors | 64c | 20.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Warriors | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0853…c938backed Warriors | 58c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.