NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1813a94af5d188ae531b6603edc04246252e4837b34cb8a0f192f815f8c4a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,701 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Thunder | 46c | 35,764$16,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,600 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba93…2740backed Thunder | 50c | 28,286$14,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,165.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 52c | 25,857$13,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,359.23 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 55c | 22,130$12,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,904.58 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 56c | 18,388$10,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.51 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Warriors | 58c | 14,234$8,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.17 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Thunder | 44c | 10,845$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,764.74 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 55c | 10,217$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 53c | 7,627$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 42c | 7,607$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 45c | 7,498$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 44c | 6,297$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.55 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 42c | 6,013$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.96 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 63c | 5,750$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.56 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 37c | 5,662$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Thunder | 50c | 5,578$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.8 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Thunder | 50c | 5,539$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.7 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Thunder | 43c | 5,278$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.02 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Thunder | 41c | 5,127$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.1 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,127$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.38 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Thunder | 51c | 5,075$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.2 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Thunder | 50c | 5,049$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Thunder | 41c | 4,318$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.88 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.29 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 49c | 3,599$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.46 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,384$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 51c | 3,272$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.31 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Thunder | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 56c | 2,785$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.45 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,763$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 52c | 2,595$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Warriors | 54c | 2,262$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.38 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Warriors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Warriors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,747$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.67 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Thunder | 51c | 1,660$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.74 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 58c | 1,647$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Thunder | 51c | 1,580$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Warriors | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.03 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 59c | 1,424$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.81 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,342$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.66 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Thunder | 51c | 852.94$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 50c | 803.58$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.79 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Thunder | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 50c | 691.45$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Thunder | 42c | 643.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 56c | 607$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Thunder | 51c | 545.58$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.19 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 54c | 474.29$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Warriors | 51c | 419.92$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors | 57c | 361.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Warriors | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Thunder | 46c | 324.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Warriors | 56c | 314.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Thunder | 46c | 309.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Warriors | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Thunder | 51c | 282.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Thunder | 48c | 275.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 51c | 260.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Warriors | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Thunder | 50c | 233.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Thunder | 41c | 222.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Thunder | 43c | 214.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Thunder | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Warriors | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Thunder | 51c | 196.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Thunder | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Warriors | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Thunder | 51c | 176.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Warriors | 49c | 166.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Thunder | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 44c | 158.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Thunder | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Thunder | 51c | 153.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Warriors | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Warriors | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Thunder | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Warriors | 53c | 125.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Warriors | 50c | 119.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Thunder | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 56c | 113.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Thunder | 49c | 104.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Thunder | 47c | 100.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Warriors | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Warriors | 57c | 98.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Thunder | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.