NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6d9a54f337cbb2dbed4ad7f9ff790f2757d9ff5aabc9c7ca61204563a7f636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Warriors, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,428,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,428,503 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Warriors | 16c | 431,718$70,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,914.59 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 16c | 321,353$49,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,989.08 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 14c | 161,395$22,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,984.34 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 13c | 131,182$16,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,741.83 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 17c | 130,392$22,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,166.59 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 15c | 100,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.78 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Warriors | 17c | 99,999$16,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,999.25 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors | 14c | 72,466$10,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.03 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 13c | 50,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.99 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 15c | 46,521$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.45 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 15c | 44,098$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640.75 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 12c | 34,599$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.5 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Warriors | 13c | 34,504$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.26 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Warriors | 17c | 30,056$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.19 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 14c | 30,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 16c | 27,060$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.9 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Warriors | 1c | 24,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 13c | 22,161$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.34 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 13c | 21,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Warriors | 22c | 17,661$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Warriors | 13c | 16,235$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.74 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 8c | 14,576$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 16c | 13,865$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Warriors | 16c | 13,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.79 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Warriors | 13c | 12,382$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.51 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Warriors | 16c | 12,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.79 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Warriors | 10c | 10,527$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.59 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 14c | 10,470$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.12 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Warriors | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.7 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Warriors | 20c | 9,877$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.53 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…9291backed Warriors | 7c | 9,087$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Warriors | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.7 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 7,475$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Warriors | 16c | 7,164$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.5 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Warriors | 14c | 7,146$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 16c | 7,100$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 18c | 6,562$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Warriors | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Warriors | 14c | 6,169$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.68 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 18c | 5,846$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Warriors | 13c | 5,682$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Warriors | 15c | 5,622$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.58 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Warriors | 17c | 5,489$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 78c | 5,339$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.62 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Warriors | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Warriors | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Warriors | 17c | 4,493$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.85 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 7c | 4,461$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 4,445$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 10c | 4,396$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.33 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…caa7backed Warriors | 16c | 4,391$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Warriors | 18c | 4,368$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.29 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors | 10c | 4,022$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.76 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Warriors | 14c | 4,008$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.45 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Warriors | 5c | 4,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.89 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Warriors | 17c | 3,570$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.9 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 14c | 3,415$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…3002backed Warriors | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…90f0backed Warriors | 15c | 3,114$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 24c | 2,973$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.68 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Warriors | 13c | 2,875$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.95 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Warriors | 26c | 2,727$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…31a0backed Warriors | 15c | 2,608$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Warriors | 14c | 2,608$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 16c | 2,582$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.26 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 20c | 2,533$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 78c | 2,532$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.42 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Warriors | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.81 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…48f3backed Warriors | 11c | 2,482$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.85 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Warriors | 19c | 2,440$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.61 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Warriors | 21c | 2,269$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 16c | 2,240$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 18c | 2,206$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb27…b605backed Warriors | 19c | 2,189$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.97 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Warriors | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Warriors | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 12c | 1,963$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 10c | 1,905$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…e9bebacked Warriors | 14c | 1,817$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Warriors | 19c | 1,736$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Warriors | 9c | 1,680$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Thunder | 73c | 1,643$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.74 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…15efbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,638$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Warriors | 12c | 1,600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Warriors | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 14c | 1,544$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 5c | 1,542$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…aad5backed Warriors | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Warriors | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Warriors | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…d4d5backed Warriors | 15c | 1,475$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2b46backed Warriors | 14c | 1,435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…3c0ebacked Thunder | 79c | 1,367$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.47 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Warriors | 15c | 1,315$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…8ce9backed Thunder | 75c | 1,264$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.22 | 170 | 55.9%95 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Warriors | 10c | 1,240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Warriors | 16c | 1,215$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 9c | 1,209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.