NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a981100c6ef4200ac5fffbb89c4aa156f59d35a30462cd13e1e7dc323030f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Over | 45c | 35,501$15,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,975.4 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 55c | 6,676$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.07 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 4,483$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 3,803$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 2,475$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.98 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 1,178$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.77 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 44c | 990$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 766$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 56c | 679.17$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 61c | 672.57$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 549.38$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 44c | 523.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 501.88$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 44c | 453.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 341.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 303.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 53c | 225.27$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 160.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 149$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 56c | 109.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Over | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 55c | 102.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 55c | 102.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…7764backed Under | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 30c | 82.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 48c | 76.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 54c | 74.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 69.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 55c | 68.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 55c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 35c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 57c | 62.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 54c | 53.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…4cc3backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Over | 49c | 39.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Over | 42c | 39.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 44c | 38.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 54c | 34.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Over | 49c | 30.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 28.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 56c | 27.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 24.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Over | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Over | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Over | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 54c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.