NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7bc2f2b5680910d4ed4575189e82f6b929510390031e83d905238de9bf0e606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,998 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 574,106$286,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286,916.41 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 74,443$37,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,185.03 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 52,364$26,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,181.9 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 29,118$14,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,559 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under | 53c | 11,287$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.01 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 7,606$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.71 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 51c | 5,445$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.22 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 4,555$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 4,500$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 50c | 3,750$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 3,036$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 2,121$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,863$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.15 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 1,583$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,516$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 1,200$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 986$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.24 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 833.51$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 651$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 49c | 541.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 523.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Under | 50c | 495$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 68c | 459.37$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 50c | 426.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Under | 51c | 344$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 51c | 329.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 51c | 306.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 298.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 51c | 256.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 252.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Under | 50c | 233.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 31c | 219.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 65c | 204.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 35c | 204.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Under | 51c | 197.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 185.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…491cbacked Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 35cpaid | -88%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 43c | 180.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 51c | 173.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 51c | 171.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 51c | 169.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 51c | 164.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 51c | 163.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 50c | 157.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Under | 50c | 124.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 50c | 111.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 51c | 110.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 50c | 106.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 54c | 101.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Under | 51c | 98.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 49c | 96.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 49c | 90.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 50c | 83.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Under | 51c | 81.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 80.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 51c | 78.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 74.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Under | 51c | 65.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked Under | 51c | 62.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…d503backed Under | 51c | 60.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.