TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 15.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,876 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e0…5052backed Yes36c4,275$1,549 inLost-$1,5498839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No64c2,000$1,290 inWon+$7101,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No65c1,898$1,241 inWon+$657.291,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No60c697.92$419 inWon+$279.1790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ae9…0624backed Yes33c638.91$210 inLost-$2101540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Yes39c328.11$127 inLost-$127.038658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked Yes32c308.61$100 inLost-$1003925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No66c271.66$180 inWon+$91.6683158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c146$100 inWon+$46.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…ef51backed Yes31c97.6$30 inLost-$30.19837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…4847backed Yes32c96.53$31 inLost-$311040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No63c79.37$50 inWon+$29.3797049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No65c66.56$44 inWon+$23.0692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d58…0385backed Yes33c60.91$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No68c60$41 inWon+$19.260267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No63c56$35 inWon+$20.7295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f45…2347backed No70c42.26$30 inWon+$12.6628100%28 W · 0 L+9.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No68c39.98$27 inWon+$12.7290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No69c30$21 inWon+$9.31,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf484…bf13backed No71c22.03$16 inWon+$6.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No68c20$14 inWon+$6.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed No71c16.56$12 inWon+$4.85648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.