TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Merida Open Akron: Emiliana Arango vs Anastasia Potapova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arangoof Arango, Potapova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Potapova23c5,999$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.922,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Potapova18c4,837$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.322,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Arango62c3,831$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.266,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arango44c3,672$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.287,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Potapova17c2,962$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2718247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Potapova47c2,772$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.272,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Potapova37c2,326$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.392,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Potapova54c2,282$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.0381349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Arango74c1,818$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.372,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Potapova63c1,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00822553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Potapova34c1,577$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.916550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Potapova51c1,562$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Arango76c1,189$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Potapova73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73030542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Arango59c1,000$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.725565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Potapova29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Potapova23c640.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.121,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Potapova21c632$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Arango27c546.34$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9322747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Arango26c537$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.181,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Potapova36c482.75$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.754,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Arango60c462$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6199044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Arango55c457.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.351,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Arango61c437$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Arango62c425$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.881,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Arango59c422$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3953644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Potapova25c408.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3919637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Potapova71c370.04$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7320542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Potapova73c324.46$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.751,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Potapova33c307.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.521,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Potapova76c306.57$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.161,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133b…20a3backed Arango40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Arango28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21636349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3052…ca02backed Potapova35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arango61c299.5$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6957252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Arango29c294$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.741,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Arango37c280.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.92,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Potapova44c264.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.746,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Potapova4c254.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Potapova50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.21,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Potapova33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Arango25c199.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.991,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Arango66c199$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Potapova77c194.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Potapova53c188.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Potapova54c183$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5369249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Potapova72c180$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.627344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Arango29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Potapova75c142.52$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.271,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Potapova48c139.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.73,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Potapova35c128.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Arango37c125.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5622337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Potapova29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Arango23c119$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6385748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Potapova77c118.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Arango24c115$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.41,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Arango53c110.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.712548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arango65c107.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.796,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Arango46c100.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4419134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Potapova21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Potapova78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9b…50e0backed Arango24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Potapova51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Arango26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9217056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Potapova53c73.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.571,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Arango29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9754050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6807…e3d9backed Arango30c66.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Potapova73c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.411465.8%75 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Arango31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5228322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Potapova44c61.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.024,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Potapova50c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.592548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Potapova70c57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.938048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arango29c53.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.964,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Arango25c52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3938133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Arango26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Potapova54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0526349%129 W · 134 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Potapova46c48.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1512958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Potapova73c48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0421072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Arango24c46.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2714828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Potapova51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.29347.3%44 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Arango44c33.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93080%24 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Potapova70c31.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Potapova41c31.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6227546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Potapova51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc4e…5ee6backed Potapova72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Potapova75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016355.8%91 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34bb…dcf8backed Potapova77c25.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked Arango58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e0…ad29backed Potapova72c19.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149470.2%66 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Potapova75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Potapova72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bb…e773backed Potapova80c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.