Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e94650c259173eeb8b1c7457df2cfb8babd9b86912c437e368c22652f4cc71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 7,040$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 6c | 2,244$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 7c | 1,452$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 23c | 1,166$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.47 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 2c | 977.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 12c | 901$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 750$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 75c | 650$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 608.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 21c | 600.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 25c | 504.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 20c | 420$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 25c | 338.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 79c | 203.36$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Yes | 75c | 197.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 11c | 172.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 20c | 123$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 19c | 111.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked No | 12c | 96.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 18c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 17c | 71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…a307backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…0246backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Yes | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will AC Sparta Praha vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.