TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Switzerland, Czechia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$617,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$644,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bd…238ebacked Switzerland44c298,863$131,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,325.351838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb901…9124backed Czechia56c147,629$82,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,712.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Czechia55c92,414$51,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,032.642737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Switzerland46c60,082$27,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,410.062634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Czechia56c30,238$16,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,831.161921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Czechia56c26,803$15,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,069.622128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Switzerland46c19,768$9,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,686.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Czechia56c16,110$9,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,091.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xede4…532ebacked Czechia57c12,843$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,320.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76be…d5e1backed Czechia0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Czechia56c9,227$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,134.971735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Switzerland45c8,528$3,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,710.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Czechia55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-89.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Czechia56c7,739$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Switzerland45c7,456$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Czechia56c7,207$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.031118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Switzerland57c5,214$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.324325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe306…0380backed Czechia1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Czechia31c4,887$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.961540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Czechia55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4751030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Czechia56c4,361$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Switzerland47c4,264$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Czechia48c3,689$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.811643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c28…59ffbacked Czechia1c3,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Czechia23c3,343$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Switzerland35c3,264$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.092532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Switzerland52c3,255$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.061855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Czechia19c3,250$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Switzerland45c3,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6602321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Switzerland45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Czechia55c2,650$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf878…05c1backed Czechia7c2,600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921040%4 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+255.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Czechia54c2,596$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.99825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Czechia47c2,380$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Switzerland42c2,331$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+49.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Czechia59c2,227$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Czechia56c2,143$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Switzerland45c2,111$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Czechia54c2,071$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Switzerland44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Switzerland44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.981723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid-27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Czechia56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed Switzerland67c1,803$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Czechia4c1,700$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Czechia73c1,585$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Czechia57c1,522$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.293818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Switzerland24c1,381$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.131921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Czechia55c1,355$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Czechia56c1,290$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.82437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Czechia23c1,232$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.451421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeec…9912backed Czechia58c1,223$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Switzerland44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc87…e026backed Czechia55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34b3…507fbacked Switzerland51c1,198$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Czechia56c1,180$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+128.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ab…c40ebacked Czechia54c1,171$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Switzerland67c1,160$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.971827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Czechia35c1,139$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.072437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Switzerland45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Czechia57c1,111$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Czechia1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Czechia54c1,098$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5931127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Czechia54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8feb…b36abacked Switzerland19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Czechia2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Czechia56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Czechia53c999.97$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Czechia56c994.99$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Czechia48c926.02$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.591752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Czechia56c916.96$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfb…1643backed Switzerland44c913.94$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Czechia56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Switzerland45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7533…285ebacked Czechia55c878.03$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a3…02d1backed Czechia57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Czechia38c835.44$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Czechia53c805.82$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.092321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Czechia46c785.06$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.473941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e75…27edbacked Switzerland44c780$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e8…baf3backed Czechia57c780$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Switzerland49c771.9$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Czechia38c730.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.58248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c81…389abacked Czechia57c709$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Czechia58c701.9$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Czechia54c671$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.341435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa6…419ebacked Switzerland45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Czechia53c649.99$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.452725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-62.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6562…c19fbacked Switzerland45c609.93$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Switzerland34c606.93$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.62825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Czechia56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Czechia55c592.91$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3261241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569c…140dbacked Czechia57c587.26$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e2…6bc0backed Czechia30c571.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Czechia56c555$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-74.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc4…91a1backed Czechia56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f3…ba51backed Czechia57c534$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff66…b82bbacked Switzerland44c520$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3198…40a0backed Czechia57c520$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Czechia56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Switzerland43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.