TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Utah, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$399,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1ff…e56abacked Utah32c176,784$56,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,317.515749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Utah20c64,359$13,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,150.4810753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche68c50,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche68c49,950$33,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,9842,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche68c46,018$31,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,592.311,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche70c33,840$23,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,15232251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Utah30c20,136$6,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,040.7988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Utah30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche71c14,583$10,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.332254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah28c7,685$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.871,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche69c6,666$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.4575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Utah30c6,203$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.3711947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche70c5,526$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.211,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Utah31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche68c4,103$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.526955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche70c4,010$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Utah7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche67c3,584$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.9499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Avalanche70c3,523$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.924654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah31c3,217$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Utah30c3,060$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.0225449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46c…7ffcbacked Utah25c3,001$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Avalanche69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9306555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Avalanche69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Avalanche70c2,821$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.434344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Utah31c2,734$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.514751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche75c2,716$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.761,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche68c2,689$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Utah17c2,603$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5529651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Utah31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah29c2,463$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.261,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche69c2,332$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.831654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche68c2,250$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Utah30c2,222$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.610850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche69c2,145$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0239047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e84…52c8backed Avalanche70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah1c1,777$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.777450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Avalanche70c1,700$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Utah31c1,700$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52768449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche69c1,500$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Avalanche70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5733243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Avalanche70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5710255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe017…d901backed Avalanche70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Utah16c1,363$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.245425.9%14 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche68c1,304$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.412,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Utah31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Avalanche68c1,150$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche69c1,065$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Utah10c1,050$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Avalanche70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30048046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Avalanche70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche69c1,000$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah30c999.94$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche69c964.16$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.8933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3a…3bebbacked Avalanche71c959.52$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ea…4d08backed Utah31c948.66$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche76c928$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.411,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche69c912$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.111,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Avalanche68c881$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9212941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Utah33c872.73$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885052%26 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Avalanche70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1430657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche77c830$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche68c824$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a1…618dbacked Utah31c792.68$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Avalanche68c785$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.25455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7983…8638backed Avalanche69c739.54$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Utah27c738.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4229926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x385c…e2f2backed Avalanche69c723.71$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed Avalanche70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.292360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc9…6786backed Avalanche70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454f…d7b6backed Utah31c661.13$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bd…1b0ebacked Utah31c637.61$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche70c635.71$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Utah30c611.17$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Avalanche69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18622248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Avalanche70c595.96$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.791376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Avalanche70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.435438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Utah15c516$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Avalanche70c502.76$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8313060%78 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd87…decabacked Utah32c499.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Utah30c499.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.231,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790d…9995backed Avalanche68c499.81$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.041546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d0…538dbacked Avalanche69c463.61$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah29c435.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b85…f9d2backed Avalanche69c422.53$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.98955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Utah31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12231851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Avalanche70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.147454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah25c356.62$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Utah29c356$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2423545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Avalanche70c335.71$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.711952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6e…722dbacked Avalanche69c334.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.841030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Avalanche70c321.43$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.435248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Utah30c305.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3514349.7%71 W · 72 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Utah30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche70c295$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Avalanche70c287.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2841757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche78c287.17$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.311,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Avalanche70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.714763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.