NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70040cd4b9ed51b15f5c41b0c782ecb7e18e48854b80f97385e3c745cb1e0725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Avalanche, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Utah | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Avalanche | 47c | 7,503$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.29 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 49c | 4,437$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.4 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Utah | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 52c | 2,490$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.38 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 49c | 2,174$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.84 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Avalanche | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Utah | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 51c | 1,448$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.65 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 49c | 1,129$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 43c | 566.49$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 51c | 488$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche | 49c | 434.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.13 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Utah | 54c | 371.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 50c | 350.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 46c | 272.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Avalanche | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Avalanche | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Avalanche | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 57c | 203$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Avalanche | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Avalanche | 48c | 176.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Utah | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah | 56c | 147.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Avalanche | 48c | 139.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Avalanche | 47c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Avalanche | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Avalanche | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Utah | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Avalanche | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Utah | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Utah | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 44c | 57.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Avalanche | 48c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…d2d3backed Avalanche | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Utah | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Avalanche | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Avalanche | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Avalanche | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Avalanche | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Avalanche | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Avalanche | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Avalanche | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Avalanche | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…0b37backed Avalanche | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Avalanche | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…4761backed Avalanche | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Avalanche | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Avalanche | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Avalanche | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Avalanche | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Utah vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Utah vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.