NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96431e56c48d0b120a993988a4497f0b71efbe34265ca89d575383b6d609e66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,187,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,186,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,187,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Panthers | 49c | 800,620$391,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391,509.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lightning | 52c | 606,052$314,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291,949.39 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 50c | 290,566$145,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,282.89 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lightning | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 50c | 26,200$12,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,973.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 74c | 21,841$16,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 50c | 19,676$9,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,921.66 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Panthers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Panthers | 27c | 11,194$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.83 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Panthers | 48c | 10,838$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.39 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 31c | 10,731$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.42 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 51c | 9,847$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 50c | 8,707$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.42 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 50c | 7,234$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.29 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lightning | 51c | 7,128$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.88 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 48c | 7,086$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.01 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Panthers | 50c | 5,212$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.58 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lightning | 51c | 5,000$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 52c | 4,965$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Panthers | 49c | 4,945$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.05 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Lightning | 68c | 4,746$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 25c | 4,674$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.24 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 52c | 4,614$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.68 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…1909backed Panthers | 50c | 4,060$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Panthers | 49c | 4,003$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.4 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Lightning | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Panthers | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Panthers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lightning | 48c | 3,284$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.83 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Panthers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Panthers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 50c | 2,963$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.69 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Lightning | 65c | 2,884$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Panthers | 49c | 2,881$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.61 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 19c | 2,731$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 2,488$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Panthers | 50c | 2,312$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.69 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Panthers | 35c | 2,112$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 40c | 2,008$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.76 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Panthers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Panthers | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Panthers | 48c | 1,900$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers | 49c | 1,873$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.77 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 74c | 1,820$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Panthers | 48c | 1,808$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.78 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 65c | 1,608$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.62 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 50c | 1,555$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.95 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Panthers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Panthers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 48c | 1,478$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.64 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Panthers | 39c | 1,472$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.33 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Lightning | 69c | 1,428$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.57 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Lightning | 75c | 1,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Panthers | 32c | 1,245$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.37 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Lightning | 75c | 1,153$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 32c | 1,060$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Lightning | 52c | 1,038$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.28 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…77dcbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,030$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Panthers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Lightning | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Panthers | 49c | 842.58$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Lightning | 73c | 827.51$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.19 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 50c | 797.01$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.48 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Panthers | 50c | 781.11$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.56 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Lightning | 77c | 776.1$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…aac7backed Panthers | 49c | 758.2$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Panthers | 24c | 735.66$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 74c | 729.99$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Panthers | 25c | 721.25$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Panthers | 48c | 717.69$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Panthers | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Lightning | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Panthers | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Panthers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed Panthers | 52c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Panthers | 30c | 599.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Lightning | 52c | 596.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Lightning | 50c | 594$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 20c | 578$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…3ebcbacked Lightning | 51c | 577.24$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…2ffebacked Panthers | 49c | 569.59$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…0747backed Panthers | 49c | 566.33$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Panthers | 29c | 553$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Panthers | 52c | 510$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Lightning | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Lightning | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Panthers | 33c | 467.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Lightning | 50c | 463.34$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…a5d7backed Lightning | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Panthers | 26c | 435.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Panthers | 30c | 430.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Panthersthis page
- Lightning vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.