Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700e97a99cc678f79ed68dfdfef8c283533dc3a16d1b4fc2f4c5c30ff971fa0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 57c | 21,981$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,480.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 43c | 18,188$7,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,886.51 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 13,600$7,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,785.71 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 13,350$7,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,913 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 10,632$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.54 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…9f11backed No | 46c | 10,624$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 7,427$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 7,122$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.09 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 6,571$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 5,925$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.82 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 42c | 4,718$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 3,219$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.2 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 43c | 2,298$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,802$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…8836backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 54c | 1,617$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.87 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 55c | 1,503$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 46c | 1,412$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.66 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…e28abacked No | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 43c | 944.44$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 54c | 918.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 893.91$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 46c | 871$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 32c | 860.47$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.78 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 670.6$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 60c | 608.57$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…1890backed Yes | 64c | 604.85$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 55c | 529.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 61c | 493.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 57c | 488.51$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 52c | 481.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 41c | 441.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 61c | 426.23$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 406.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 404$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 43c | 399.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 378.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 59c | 377.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 61c | 363.93$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 54c | 357.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 43c | 353$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes | 60c | 346.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 58c | 345.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 40c | 301.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 280.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 43c | 272$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 43c | 272$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 39c | 254.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 56c | 251.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…4960backed No | 41c | 246.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 57c | 246.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 44c | 245.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Yes | 53c | 244$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 40c | 230.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 43c | 226$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 53c | 224.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 53c | 223$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 47c | 212.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 48c | 203.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed No | 43c | 202.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.