NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96071ee3aaa1221d324867475fda88330c73faa78d50b7dab6fda5e63b7da1e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Magic, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $902,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,001,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $902,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Nuggets | 56c | 80,022$44,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,121.8 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 28c | 48,541$13,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,591.46 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 42c | 44,097$18,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,439.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Magic | 50c | 38,830$19,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,367.55 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 72c | 30,378$21,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,505.94 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…3e07backed Magic | 51c | 25,890$13,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,156.52 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 29c | 23,780$6,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 29c | 22,617$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Magic | 3c | 20,981$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.42 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 70c | 20,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.95 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Magic | 44c | 16,463$7,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,170.22 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 29c | 14,435$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 30c | 13,977$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.08 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 48c | 12,600$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,594 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Nuggets | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 34c | 11,778$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 28c | 11,663$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.77 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 23c | 11,476$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 2c | 10,989$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…7c29backed Magic | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Nuggets | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.17 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Magic | 30c | 9,669$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.63 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 40c | 8,894$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 30c | 8,536$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.8 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 42c | 7,739$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.85 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 0c | 7,011$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Magic | 29c | 6,884$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.41 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Magic | 20c | 6,787$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.87 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Magic | 29c | 6,676$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.1 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Nuggets | 70c | 6,056$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.89 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 18c | 6,000$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.01 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 45c | 5,068$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Magic | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Nuggets | 71c | 4,901$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.41 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,748$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.44 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 4,644$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Magic | 22c | 4,619$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 28c | 4,538$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.29 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Nuggets | 62c | 4,399$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 70c | 4,194$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 29c | 4,100$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Magic | 18c | 4,100$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 34c | 4,000$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.24 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Magic | 30c | 3,900$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…cd30backed Nuggets | 71c | 3,900$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 29c | 3,827$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Nuggets | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Nuggets | 71c | 3,123$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.67 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 70c | 2,943$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 29c | 2,861$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Nuggets | 71c | 2,747$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.58 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 1c | 2,651$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nuggets | 71c | 2,561$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.89 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Nuggets | 71c | 2,538$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.03 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Nuggets | 69c | 2,537$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.35 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Magic | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Nuggets | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 2,442$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Magic | 36c | 2,295$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.2 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 73c | 2,253$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.58 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Nuggets | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked Nuggets | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Magic | 30c | 1,961$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.22 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,913$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.06 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,725$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Magic | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,594$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Nuggets | 72c | 1,543$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.06 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,543$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.06 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Magic | 16c | 1,525$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Magic | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Magic | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…83a9backed Magic | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Magic | 29c | 1,400$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.99 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,351$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.72 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 1,257$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 7c | 1,124$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,108$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.32 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 19c | 1,101$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…58c0backed Magic | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…87fdbacked Magic | 23c | 1,088$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,081$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…cc15backed Magic | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Magic | 29c | 1,033$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 7c | 1,026$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,019$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.94 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,010$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 100 | 27%27 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Magic | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c9…5d53backed Magic | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Nuggets | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Magic vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.